The Big Central Bank Dilemma The U.S. economy and capital markets continued to surprise investors through the first half of 2024. The year began with high hopes that the rapid disinflation of 2023 would continue in an orderly and uninterrupted manner. This in turn spurred optimism that the Fed would be able to cut rates as early as in March. At that stage, the consensus expectation for monetary policy was 6 to 7 rate cuts in 2024 alone. These hopes […]